state budgets

CSG Midwest
Three recent national studies underscore the strength of state economies, fiscal conditions and revenue collections entering the new legislative year in the Midwest. Data from the Urban Institute, for example, compares state tax collections between the third quarters of 2019 and 2018 (July to October) — for every state in the region, revenue was up, and North Dakota was one of eight U.S. states with year-over-year increases of 7.5 percent or more. Nebraska and Wisconsin also experienced significant revenue gains.
CSG Midwest
State fiscal conditions were the focus of several recent national studies — here are some of the key findings for the Midwest.
CSG Midwest
Eight years have now passed since the Great Recession rocked state finances, and since that time, state policymakers have had to settle for a modest recovery and still deal with a difficult fiscal environment. In a July presentation to state legislators, John Hicks, executive director of the National Association of State Budget Officers, detailed just how different — and more challenging — this period has been compared to other post-recession eras.
Since 2011, year-to-year revenue growth in the states has never reached the historic annual average of 5.5 percent, and for fiscal year 2018, the nation’s governors were recommending an increase of only 1.0 percent (and just 0.17 percent in the 11-state Midwest).
“That’s a notable item eight years into a recovery, and it isn’t because we’re cutting taxes and having to balance our budget as a result,” Hicks said during his presentation at the Midwestern Legislative Conference Annual Meeting’s Fiscal Leaders Roundtable. Instead, this slow rise in state spending reflects a “new normal” in tax collections, the result of only moderate increases in gross domestic product and, on top of that, a gap between changes in U.S. gross domestic product and the taxes being collected by states.

CSG Midwest
As the new year began in Illinois, there was still seemingly no resolution in sight to a months-old problem: The state had no budget. But even without one in place, many parts of Illinois government continued to operate, as the result of a mix of judicial, legislative and executive actions.
“Government ‘shutdown’ is always in quotes because no government really shuts down,” notes Chris Mooney, director of the University of Illinois Institute on Government and Public Affairs. “It’s always a matter of to what degree — how much government activity is not being done.”
Illinois has been without a budget since July 1 because of a stalemate between the Democrat-led legislature and Republican governor.
Still, according to the Illinois comptroller’s office, 90 percent of state operations are being funded. For example, state employees get paid because of a court order; services for the disabled continue as the result of a consent decree; and other obligations, such as pension payments, are covered under “continuing appropriations” language in state statute. Illinois legislators also have passed emergency spending bills to fund K-12 schools and local governments.
“All states feel disruption without a budget,” says Brian Sigritz, director of state fiscal studies at the National Association of State Budget Officers, “but the level of disruption varies from state to state.”